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Jan 2014 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/twitter-big-data-opportunitiesresponse/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/you-lie-patterns-of-partisan-taunting-in-the-u.s.-senate-poster/Wed, 01 Jan 2014 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/you-lie-patterns-of-partisan-taunting-in-the-u.s.-senate-poster/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/how-censorship-in-china-allows-government-criticism-but-silences-collective-expression/Tue, 01 Jan 2013 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/how-censorship-in-china-allows-government-criticism-but-silences-collective-expression/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/how-social-science-research-can-improve-teaching/Tue, 01 Jan 2013 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/how-social-science-research-can-improve-teaching/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/method-and-apparatus-for-selecting-clusterings-to-classify-a-predetermined-data-set/Tue, 01 Jan 2013 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/method-and-apparatus-for-selecting-clusterings-to-classify-a-predetermined-data-set/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-troubled-future-of-colleges-and-universities-with-comments-from-five-scholar-administrators/Tue, 01 Jan 2013 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-troubled-future-of-colleges-and-universities-with-comments-from-five-scholar-administrators/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/brief-of-empirical-scholars-as-amici-curiae/Sun, 01 Jan 2012 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/brief-of-empirical-scholars-as-amici-curiae/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/causal-inference-without-balance-checking-coarsened-exact-matching/Sun, 01 Jan 2012 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/causal-inference-without-balance-checking-coarsened-exact-matching/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/data-analyses-and-reports-for-the-arizona-independent-redistricting-commission-filed-with-the-u.s.-department-of-justice/Sun, 01 Jan 2012 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/data-analyses-and-reports-for-the-arizona-independent-redistricting-commission-filed-with-the-u.s.-department-of-justice/<h3 id="analysis-of-congressional-redistricting">Analysis of Congressional Redistricting</h3> <ul> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/HERXCZ" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Written Report</a></li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/ZUXOX1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Final Proposed Map, CVAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/XCJGOU" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Final Proposed Map, VAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/KONI18" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Benchmark Map, CVAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/E2AN1E" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Benchmark Map, VAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/PPBCVG" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Summary File (Excel)</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="analysis-of-legislative-redistricting">Analysis of Legislative Redistricting</h3> <ul> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/NB4AGK" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Written Report</a></li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/EI8GNF" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Written Report Supplement on Candidates of Choice</a></li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/BDTOYB" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Final Proposed Map, CVAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/TEIJUP" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Final Proposed Map, VAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/F3CTOX" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Benchmark Map, CVAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/PJBGYM" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Benchmark Map, VAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/ESZ4S6" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Additional State Office Analysis, CVAP</a> (zip archive)</li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/GHQKN8" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Polarization Summary File (Excel)</a></li> <li><a href="https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/27453/OXPBZY" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Performance Summary File (Excel)</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="all-files">All files</h3> <p>All reports, spreadsheets, and map archives are in the <a href="https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/27453" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Harvard Dataverse dataset</a>.</p>http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/estimating-partisan-bias-of-the-electoral-college-under-proposed-changes-in-elector-apportionment/Sun, 01 Jan 2012 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/estimating-partisan-bias-of-the-electoral-college-under-proposed-changes-in-elector-apportionment/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/letter-to-the-editor-on-the-medicare-health-support-pilot-program-by-mccall-and-cromwell/Sun, 01 Jan 2012 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/letter-to-the-editor-on-the-medicare-health-support-pilot-program-by-mccall-and-cromwell/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/statistical-security-for-social-security/Sun, 01 Jan 2012 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/statistical-security-for-social-security/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/system-for-estimating-a-distribution-of-message-content-categories-in-source-data/Sun, 01 Jan 2012 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/system-for-estimating-a-distribution-of-message-content-categories-in-source-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/amelia-ii-a-program-for-missing-data-jss/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/amelia-ii-a-program-for-missing-data-jss/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/anchors-software-for-anchoring-vignettes-data-jss/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/anchors-software-for-anchoring-vignettes-data-jss/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/autocast-automated-bayesian-forecasting-with-yourcast/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/autocast-automated-bayesian-forecasting-with-yourcast/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/avoiding-randomization-failure-in-program-evaluation/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/avoiding-randomization-failure-in-program-evaluation/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/comparative-effectiveness-of-matching-methods-for-causal-inference/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/comparative-effectiveness-of-matching-methods-for-causal-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ensuring-the-data-rich-future-of-the-social-sciences/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ensuring-the-data-rich-future-of-the-social-sciences/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/estimating-incidence-curves-of-several-infections-using-symptom-surveillance-data/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/estimating-incidence-curves-of-several-infections-using-symptom-surveillance-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/general-purpose-computer-assisted-clustering-and-conceptualization/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/general-purpose-computer-assisted-clustering-and-conceptualization/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/matchit-nonparametric-preprocessing-for-parametric-causal-inference-jss/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/matchit-nonparametric-preprocessing-for-parametric-causal-inference-jss/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/multivariate-matching-methods-that-are-monotonic-imbalance-bounding/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/multivariate-matching-methods-that-are-monotonic-imbalance-bounding/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-future-of-death-in-america/Sat, 01 Jan 2011 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-future-of-death-in-america/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-method-of-automated-nonparametric-content-analysis-for-social-science/Fri, 01 Jan 2010 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-method-of-automated-nonparametric-content-analysis-for-social-science/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/deaths-from-heart-failure-using-coarsened-exact-matching-to-correct-cause-of-death-statistics/Fri, 01 Jan 2010 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/deaths-from-heart-failure-using-coarsened-exact-matching-to-correct-cause-of-death-statistics/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/designing-verbal-autopsy-studies/Fri, 01 Jan 2010 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/designing-verbal-autopsy-studies/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/improving-anchoring-vignettes-designing-surveys-to-correct-interpersonal-incomparability/Fri, 01 Jan 2010 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/improving-anchoring-vignettes-designing-surveys-to-correct-interpersonal-incomparability/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/inference-in-case-control-studies/Fri, 01 Jan 2010 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/inference-in-case-control-studies/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/judgeit-ii-a-program-for-evaluating-electoral-systems-and-redistricting-plans/Fri, 01 Jan 2010 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/judgeit-ii-a-program-for-evaluating-electoral-systems-and-redistricting-plans/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/readme-software-for-automated-content-analysis/Fri, 01 Jan 2010 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/readme-software-for-automated-content-analysis/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/what-to-do-about-missing-values-in-time-series-cross-section-data/Fri, 01 Jan 2010 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/what-to-do-about-missing-values-in-time-series-cross-section-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/amelia-ii-a-program-for-missing-data/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/amelia-ii-a-program-for-missing-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/cem-coarsened-exact-matching-in-stata/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/cem-coarsened-exact-matching-in-stata/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/cem-coarsened-exact-matching-software/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/cem-coarsened-exact-matching-software/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/cem-software-for-coarsened-exact-matching/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/cem-software-for-coarsened-exact-matching/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/computational-social-science/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/computational-social-science/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/empirical-versus-theoretical-claims-about-extreme-counterfactuals-a-response/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/empirical-versus-theoretical-claims-about-extreme-counterfactuals-a-response/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/from-preserving-the-past-to-preserving-the-future-the-data-pass-project-and-the-challenges-of-preserving-digital-social-science-data/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/from-preserving-the-past-to-preserving-the-future-the-data-pass-project-and-the-challenges-of-preserving-digital-social-science-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/matched-pairs-and-the-future-of-cluster-randomized-experiments-a-rejoinder/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/matched-pairs-and-the-future-of-cluster-randomized-experiments-a-rejoinder/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/preserving-quantitative-research-elicited-data-for-longitudinal-analysis.-new-developments-in-archiving-survey-data-in-the-u.s./Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/preserving-quantitative-research-elicited-data-for-longitudinal-analysis.-new-developments-in-archiving-survey-data-in-the-u.s./http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/public-policy-for-the-poor-a-randomised-assessment-of-the-mexican-universal-health-insurance-programme/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/public-policy-for-the-poor-a-randomised-assessment-of-the-mexican-universal-health-insurance-programme/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/replication-data-for-public-policy-for-the-poor-a-randomised-assessment-of-the-mexican-universal-health-insurance-programme/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/replication-data-for-public-policy-for-the-poor-a-randomised-assessment-of-the-mexican-universal-health-insurance-programme/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-changing-evidence-base-of-social-science-research/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-changing-evidence-base-of-social-science-research/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-essential-role-of-pair-matching-in-cluster-randomized-experiments-with-application-to-the-mexican-universal-health-insurance-evaluation/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-essential-role-of-pair-matching-in-cluster-randomized-experiments-with-application-to-the-mexican-universal-health-insurance-evaluation/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-future-of-political-science-100-perspectives/Thu, 01 Jan 2009 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-future-of-political-science-100-perspectives/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/demographic-forecasting/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/demographic-forecasting/<div style="height:0.75rem" aria-hidden="true"></div> <h3 id="full-text">Full text</h3> <p><em>Available from <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Demographic-Forecasting-Federico-Girosi/dp/0691130957" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Amazon</a> or by printing the PDFs below.</em></p> <p>You may also be interested in <a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/software/yourcast/">YourCast software</a> that implements all the methods in the book, an <a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-errata_0.pdf">errata</a>, and related mortality and forecasting work (see <strong>See Also</strong> below).</p> <ul> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/cover.pdf">Book Cover</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/prelims.pdf">Preface and Table of Contents</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-01.pdf">Chapter 1: Qualitative Overview</a></li> <li>Part I: Existing Methods for Forecasting Mortality <ul> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-02.pdf">Chapter 2: Methods Without Covariates</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-03.pdf">Chapter 3: Methods With Covariates</a></li> </ul> </li> <li>Part II Statistical Modeling <ul> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-04.pdf">Chapter 4: The Model</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-05.pdf">Chapter 5: Priors over Grouped Continuous Variables</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-06.pdf">Chapter 6: Model Selection</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-07.pdf">Chapter 7: Adding Priors over Time and Space</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-08.pdf">Chapter 8: Comparisons and Extensions</a></li> </ul> </li> <li>Part III Estimation <ul> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-09.pdf">Chapter 9: Markov Chain Monte Carlo Estimation</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-10.pdf">Chapter 10: Fast Estimation Without Markov Chains</a></li> </ul> </li> <li>Part IV: Empirical Evidence <ul> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-11.pdf">Chapter 11: Illustrative Analyses</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-12.pdf">Chapter 12: Comparative Analyses</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/chapter-13.pdf">Chapter 13: Concluding Remarks</a></li> </ul> </li> <li>Appendices <ul> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/appendix-a.pdf">Appendix A: Notation</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/appendix-b.pdf">Appendix B: Mathematical Refresher</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/appendix-c.pdf">Appendix C: Improper Normal Priors</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/appendix-d.pdf">Appendix D: Discretization of the Derivative Operator</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/appendix-e.pdf">Appendix E: Smoothness over Graphs</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/bibliography.pdf">Bibliography</a></li> <li><a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/files/smooth-outline/book-index.pdf">Index</a></li> </ul> </li> </ul> <div style="height:1rem" aria-hidden="true"></div>http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/how-not-to-lie-without-statistics/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/how-not-to-lie-without-statistics/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/misunderstandings-among-experimentalists-and-observationalists-about-causal-inference/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/misunderstandings-among-experimentalists-and-observationalists-about-causal-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ordinary-economic-voting-behavior-in-the-extraordinary-election-of-adolf-hitler/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ordinary-economic-voting-behavior-in-the-extraordinary-election-of-adolf-hitler/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-effects-of-international-monetary-fund-loans-on-health-outcomes/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-effects-of-international-monetary-fund-loans-on-health-outcomes/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-future-of-partisan-symmetry-as-a-judicial-test-for-partisan-gerrymandering-after-lulac-v.-perry/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-future-of-partisan-symmetry-as-a-judicial-test-for-partisan-gerrymandering-after-lulac-v.-perry/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/toward-a-common-framework-for-statistical-analysis-and-development/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/toward-a-common-framework-for-statistical-analysis-and-development/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/va-verbal-autopsies/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/va-verbal-autopsies/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/verbal-autopsy-methods-with-multiple-causes-of-death/Tue, 01 Jan 2008 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/verbal-autopsy-methods-with-multiple-causes-of-death/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-politically-robust-experimental-design-for-public-policy-evaluation-with-application-to-the-mexican-universal-health-insurance-program/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-politically-robust-experimental-design-for-public-policy-evaluation-with-application-to-the-mexican-universal-health-insurance-program/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-proposed-standard-for-the-scholarly-citation-of-quantitative-data/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-proposed-standard-for-the-scholarly-citation-of-quantitative-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/an-introduction-to-the-dataverse-network-as-an-infrastructure-for-data-sharing/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/an-introduction-to-the-dataverse-network-as-an-infrastructure-for-data-sharing/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/anchors-software-for-anchoring-vignettes-data/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/anchors-software-for-anchoring-vignettes-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/comparing-incomparable-survey-responses-new-tools-for-anchoring-vignettes/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/comparing-incomparable-survey-responses-new-tools-for-anchoring-vignettes/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/dataverse-open-source-research-data-repository-software/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/dataverse-open-source-research-data-repository-software/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/detecting-model-dependence-in-statistical-inference-a-response/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/detecting-model-dependence-in-statistical-inference-a-response/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/matching-as-nonparametric-preprocessing-for-reducing-model-dependence-in-parametric-causal-inference/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/matching-as-nonparametric-preprocessing-for-reducing-model-dependence-in-parametric-causal-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/matchit-nonparametric-preprocessing-for-parametric-causal-inference/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/matchit-nonparametric-preprocessing-for-parametric-causal-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/understanding-the-lee-carter-mortality-forecasting-method/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/understanding-the-lee-carter-mortality-forecasting-method/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/when-can-history-be-our-guide-the-pitfalls-of-counterfactual-inference/Mon, 01 Jan 2007 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/when-can-history-be-our-guide-the-pitfalls-of-counterfactual-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/death-by-survey-estimating-adult-mortality-without-selection-bias-from-sibling-survival-data/Sun, 01 Jan 2006 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/death-by-survey-estimating-adult-mortality-without-selection-bias-from-sibling-survival-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ecological-inference/Sun, 01 Jan 2006 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ecological-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/publication-publication/Sun, 01 Jan 2006 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/publication-publication/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-dangers-of-extreme-counterfactuals/Sun, 01 Jan 2006 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-dangers-of-extreme-counterfactuals/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-effect-of-war-on-the-supreme-court/Sun, 01 Jan 2006 00:00:00 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+0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/whatif-software-for-evaluating-counterfactuals/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/did-illegal-overseas-absentee-ballots-decide-the-2000-u.s.-presidential-election/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/did-illegal-overseas-absentee-ballots-decide-the-2000-u.s.-presidential-election/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ecological-inference-new-methodological-strategies/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ecological-inference-new-methodological-strategies/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ei-a-program-for-ecological-inference-jss/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/ei-a-program-for-ecological-inference-jss/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/empirically-evaluating-the-electoral-college/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/empirically-evaluating-the-electoral-college/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/enhancing-the-validity-and-cross-cultural-comparability-of-measurement-in-survey-research/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/enhancing-the-validity-and-cross-cultural-comparability-of-measurement-in-survey-research/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/finding-new-information-for-ecological-inference-models-a-comment-on-jon-wakefield-ecological-inference-in-2x2-tables/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/finding-new-information-for-ecological-inference-models-a-comment-on-jon-wakefield-ecological-inference-in-2x2-tables/<p><strong>Excerpt:</strong></p> <blockquote class="border-l-4 border-neutral-300 dark:border-neutral-600 pl-4 italic text-neutral-600 dark:text-neutral-400 my-6"> <p>Congratulations goes to Jon Wakefield for an unusually complete and completely insightful contribution to this fast-growing literature. Wakefield productively follows what is now standard practice by including both deterministic and statistical information in each new model and then seeking out additional sources of information.</p> </blockquote>http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/gill/murray/cholesky/factorization/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/gill/murray/cholesky/factorization/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/information-in-ecological-inference-an-introduction/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/information-in-ecological-inference-an-introduction/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/schnabel/eskow/cholesky/factorization/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/schnabel/eskow/cholesky/factorization/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/theory-and-evidence-in-international-conflict-a-response-to-de-marchi-gelpi-and-grynaviski/Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:00:00 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01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-fast-easy-and-efficient-estimator-for-multiparty-electoral-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/archive-of-the-controversy-involving-wendy-k.-tam-cho-brian-j.-gaines-and-the-american-political-science-review/Tue, 01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/archive-of-the-controversy-involving-wendy-k.-tam-cho-brian-j.-gaines-and-the-american-political-science-review/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/armed-conflict-as-a-public-health-problem/Tue, 01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/armed-conflict-as-a-public-health-problem/http://gking.harvard.edu/count/Tue, 01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/count/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/empirical-research-and-the-goals-of-legal-scholarship-a-response/Tue, 01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 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+0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/measuring-total-health-inequality-adding-individual-variation-to-group-level-differences/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/rethinking-human-security/Tue, 01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/rethinking-human-security/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-rules-of-inference/Tue, 01 Jan 2002 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-rules-of-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-digital-library-for-the-dissemination-and-replication-of-quantitative-social-science-research/Mon, 01 Jan 2001 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-digital-library-for-the-dissemination-and-replication-of-quantitative-social-science-research/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/aggregation-among-binary-count-and-duration-models-estimating-the-same-quantities-from-different-levels-of-data/Mon, 01 Jan 2001 00:00:00 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+0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/logistic-regression-in-rare-events-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/proper-nouns-and-methodological-propriety-pooling-dyads-in-international-relations-data/Mon, 01 Jan 2001 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/proper-nouns-and-methodological-propriety-pooling-dyads-in-international-relations-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/geography-statistics-and-ecological-inference/Sat, 01 Jan 2000 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/geography-statistics-and-ecological-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/improving-quantitative-studies-of-international-conflict-a-conjecture/Sat, 01 Jan 2000 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/improving-quantitative-studies-of-international-conflict-a-conjecture/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/making-the-most-of-statistical-analyses-improving-interpretation-and-presentation/Sat, 01 Jan 2000 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/making-the-most-of-statistical-analyses-improving-interpretation-and-presentation/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-statistical-model-for-multiparty-electoral-data/Fri, 01 Jan 1999 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-statistical-model-for-multiparty-electoral-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/binomial-beta-hierarchical-models-for-ecological-inference/Fri, 01 Jan 1999 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/binomial-beta-hierarchical-models-for-ecological-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/many-publications-but-still-no-evidence/Fri, 01 Jan 1999 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/many-publications-but-still-no-evidence/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/no-evidence-on-directional-vs.-proximity-voting/Fri, 01 Jan 1999 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/no-evidence-on-directional-vs.-proximity-voting/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/not-asked-and-not-answered-multiple-imputation-for-multiple-surveys/Fri, 01 Jan 1999 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/not-asked-and-not-answered-multiple-imputation-for-multiple-surveys/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-future-of-ecological-inference-research-a-reply-to-freedman-et-al./Fri, 01 Jan 1999 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-future-of-ecological-inference-research-a-reply-to-freedman-et-al./http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/amelia-a-program-for-missing-data/Thu, 01 Jan 1998 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/amelia-a-program-for-missing-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/estimating-the-probability-of-events-that-have-never-occurred-when-is-your-vote-decisive/Thu, 01 Jan 1998 00:00:00 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+0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-solution-to-the-ecological-inference-problem-reconstructing-individual-behavior-from-aggregate-data/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-preview-of-ei-and-ezi-programs-for-ecological-inference/Mon, 01 Jan 1996 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-preview-of-ei-and-ezi-programs-for-ecological-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/advantages-of-conflictual-redistricting/Mon, 01 Jan 1996 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/advantages-of-conflictual-redistricting/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/racial-fairness-in-legislative-redistricting/Mon, 01 Jan 1996 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/racial-fairness-in-legislative-redistricting/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-generalization-in-the-generalized-event-count-model-with-comments-on-achen-amato-and-londregan/Mon, 01 Jan 1996 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-generalization-in-the-generalized-event-count-model-with-comments-on-achen-amato-and-londregan/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/why-context-should-not-count/Mon, 01 Jan 1996 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/why-context-should-not-count/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-correction-for-an-underdispersed-event-count-probability-distribution/Sun, 01 Jan 1995 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-correction-for-an-underdispersed-event-count-probability-distribution/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-revised-proposal-proposal/Sun, 01 Jan 1995 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-revised-proposal-proposal/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/pre-election-survey-methodology-details-from-nine-polling-organizations-1988-and-1992/Sun, 01 Jan 1995 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/pre-election-survey-methodology-details-from-nine-polling-organizations-1988-and-1992/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/replication-replication/Sun, 01 Jan 1995 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/replication-replication/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-importance-of-research-design-in-political-science/Sun, 01 Jan 1995 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-importance-of-research-design-in-political-science/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-unified-method-of-evaluating-electoral-systems-and-redistricting-plans/Sat, 01 Jan 1994 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-unified-method-of-evaluating-electoral-systems-and-redistricting-plans/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/designing-social-inquiry-scientific-inference-in-qualitative-research/Sat, 01 Jan 1994 00:00:00 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+0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/transfers-of-governmental-power-the-meaning-of-time-dependence/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/good-research-and-bad-research-extending-zimiles-criticism/Fri, 01 Jan 1993 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/good-research-and-bad-research-extending-zimiles-criticism/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/on-party-platforms-mandates-and-government-spending/Fri, 01 Jan 1993 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/on-party-platforms-mandates-and-government-spending/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-methodology-of-presidential-research/Fri, 01 Jan 1993 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-methodology-of-presidential-research/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-science-of-political-science-graduate-admissions/Fri, 01 Jan 1993 00:00:00 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+0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/truth-is-stranger-than-prediction-more-questionable-than-causal-inference/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/calculating-standard-errors-of-predicted-values-based-on-nonlinear-functional-forms/Tue, 01 Jan 1991 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/calculating-standard-errors-of-predicted-values-based-on-nonlinear-functional-forms/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/constituency-service-and-incumbency-advantage/Tue, 01 Jan 1991 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/constituency-service-and-incumbency-advantage/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/on-political-methodology/Tue, 01 Jan 1991 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/on-political-methodology/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/stochastic-variation-a-comment-on-lewis-beck-and-skalabans-the-r-square/Tue, 01 Jan 1991 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/stochastic-variation-a-comment-on-lewis-beck-and-skalabans-the-r-square/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/systemic-consequences-of-incumbency-advantage-in-the-u.s.-house/Tue, 01 Jan 1991 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/systemic-consequences-of-incumbency-advantage-in-the-u.s.-house/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-unified-model-of-cabinet-dissolution-in-parliamentary-democracies/Mon, 01 Jan 1990 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/a-unified-model-of-cabinet-dissolution-in-parliamentary-democracies/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/electoral-responsiveness-and-partisan-bias-in-multiparty-democracies/Mon, 01 Jan 1990 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/electoral-responsiveness-and-partisan-bias-in-multiparty-democracies/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/estimating-incumbency-advantage-without-bias/Mon, 01 Jan 1990 00:00:00 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+0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/variance-specification-in-event-count-models-from-restrictive-assumptions-to-a-generalized-estimator/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/statistical-models-for-political-science-event-counts-bias-in-conventional-procedures-and-evidence-for-the-exponential-poisson-regression-model/Fri, 01 Jan 1988 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/statistical-models-for-political-science-event-counts-bias-in-conventional-procedures-and-evidence-for-the-exponential-poisson-regression-model/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-elusive-executive-discovering-statistical-patterns-in-the-presidency/Fri, 01 Jan 1988 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-elusive-executive-discovering-statistical-patterns-in-the-presidency/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/democratic-representation-and-partisan-bias-in-congressional-elections/Thu, 01 Jan 1987 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/democratic-representation-and-partisan-bias-in-congressional-elections/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/presidential-appointments-to-the-supreme-court-adding-systematic-explanation-to-probabilistic-description/Thu, 01 Jan 1987 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/presidential-appointments-to-the-supreme-court-adding-systematic-explanation-to-probabilistic-description/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/seats-votes-and-gerrymandering-measuring-bias-and-representation-in-legislative-redistricting/Thu, 01 Jan 1987 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/seats-votes-and-gerrymandering-measuring-bias-and-representation-in-legislative-redistricting/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/how-not-to-lie-with-statistics-avoiding-common-mistakes-in-quantitative-political-science/Wed, 01 Jan 1986 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/how-not-to-lie-with-statistics-avoiding-common-mistakes-in-quantitative-political-science/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/political-parties-and-foreign-policy-a-structuralist-approach/Wed, 01 Jan 1986 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/political-parties-and-foreign-policy-a-structuralist-approach/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-development-of-political-activists-a-model-of-early-learning/Wed, 01 Jan 1986 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-development-of-political-activists-a-model-of-early-learning/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-significance-of-roll-calls-in-voting-bodies-a-model-and-statistical-estimation/Wed, 01 Jan 1986 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-significance-of-roll-calls-in-voting-bodies-a-model-and-statistical-estimation/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/book-review-of-forecasting-presidential-elections/Tue, 01 Jan 1985 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/book-review-of-forecasting-presidential-elections/http://gking.harvard.edu/partyswitch/Sun, 01 Jan 1984 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/partyswitch/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/pc-checkbook-manager/Fri, 01 Jan 1982 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/pc-checkbook-manager/http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-citys-losing-clout/Mon, 01 Jan 1979 00:00:00 +0000http://gking.harvard.edu/publication/the-citys-losing-clout/